Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

37%

Reading

2.71

24%

Draw

4.08

39%

Cardiff

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Reading xG

Total xG

2.96

1.50

Cardiff xG

37%
24%
39%
ReadingDrawCardiff

2.71

37%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

22%

Reading

4.46

23%

Cardiff

4.31

Win to Nil

8%

Reading

12.08

9%

Cardiff

11.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.8 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.6 11.4 8.5 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.3 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.3
3 2.7 4.0 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 1.496
Total xG 2.956
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.134
Reading attack strength 1.159
Reading defence strength 1.039
Cardiff attack strength 1.269
Cardiff defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 42