Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

37%

Port Vale

2.68

31%

Draw

3.27

32%

Exeter City

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.02

0.96

Exeter City xG

37%
31%
32%
Port ValeDrawExeter City

2.68

37%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

38%

Port Vale

2.62

35%

Exeter City

2.89

Win to Nil

14%

Port Vale

7.04

11%

Exeter City

8.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 12.7 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.061
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.025
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.081
Port Vale attack strength 0.843
Port Vale defence strength 1.096
Exeter City attack strength 0.814
Exeter City defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 71