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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

23%

Plymouth

4.39

27%

Draw

3.72

50%

Reading

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.31

1.44

Reading xG

23%
27%
50%
PlymouthDrawReading

4.39

23%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

24%

Plymouth

4.22

42%

Reading

2.39

Win to Nil

5%

Plymouth

18.52

21%

Reading

4.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 14.3 10.3 4.9 1.8 0.5
1 8.6 12.4 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 3.8 5.4 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.871
λ Away (xG) 1.439
Total xG 2.310
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.157
Plymouth attack strength 0.683
Plymouth defence strength 1.195
Reading attack strength 1.041
Reading defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 66