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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

50%

Plymouth

1.99

23%

Draw

4.28

26%

Peterborough

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.99

1.22

Peterborough xG

50%
23%
26%
PlymouthDrawPeterborough

1.99

50%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

29%

Plymouth

3.39

17%

Peterborough

5.85

Win to Nil

15%

Plymouth

6.76

5%

Peterborough

22.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.2 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.9 10.9 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.6 5.7 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.766
λ Away (xG) 1.221
Total xG 2.987
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.049
Plymouth attack strength 0.942
Plymouth defence strength 1.211
Peterborough attack strength 0.961
Peterborough defence strength 1.295
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 54