🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cardiff Win
20%
4.94
23%
4.27
56%
1.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
11.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
0 – 2
10.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Plymouth xG
Total xG
2.71
1.76
Cardiff xG
PlymouthDrawCardiff
4.94
20%
Home win
4.27
23%
Draw
1.77
56%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
17%
5.81
39%
2.59
Win to Nil
3%
28.70
22%
4.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.953
λ Away (xG)
1.760
Total xG
2.713
League avg home goals
1.398
League avg away goals
1.121
Plymouth attack strength
0.766
Plymouth defence strength
1.335
Cardiff attack strength
1.175
Cardiff defence strength
0.890
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
32 / 32