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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 16 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Weston Homes Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Peterborough Win

75%

Peterborough

1.33

15%

Draw

6.57

9%

Port Vale

10.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.55

Peterborough xG

Total xG

3.34

0.79

Port Vale xG

75%
15%
PeterboroughDrawPort Vale

1.33

75%

Home win

6.57

15%

Draw

10.65

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

45%

Peterborough

2.20

8%

Port Vale

12.77

Win to Nil

34%

Peterborough

2.92

1%

Port Vale

135.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.1 7.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
2 11.5 9.1 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.8 7.7 3.1 0.8 0.2
4 6.2 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 3.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.547
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 3.337
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.110
Peterborough attack strength 1.382
Peterborough defence strength 1.036
Port Vale attack strength 0.686
Port Vale defence strength 1.325
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 40