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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Weston Homes Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Peterborough Win

52%

Peterborough

1.93

25%

Draw

4.07

23%

Northampton

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Peterborough xG

Total xG

2.72

1.05

Northampton xG

52%
25%
23%
PeterboroughDrawNorthampton

1.93

52%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

Peterborough

2.85

19%

Northampton

5.34

Win to Nil

18%

Peterborough

5.49

4%

Northampton

22.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.676
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.112
Peterborough attack strength 1.238
Peterborough defence strength 1.064
Northampton attack strength 0.886
Northampton defence strength 1.055
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 86