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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Peterborough's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Peterborough and Mansfield Town finished level at 0-0 at Weston Homes Stadium, Regular Season - 40, in the League One. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Peterborough 1.27 xG and Mansfield Town 1.36 xG, a combined 2.63. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Peterborough fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Mansfield Town landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Peterborough attack 1.26 / defence 1.15 against Mansfield Town attack 1.00 / defence 0.73, drawn from 90/90 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Peterborough 35% | Draw 26% | Mansfield Town 39%, with Mansfield Town to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Peterborough 60%, Mansfield Town 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Peterborough's trading profile (90 games, 44 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Mansfield Town's trading profile (90 games, 44 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Peterborough 1.14 PPG, Mansfield Town 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Peterborough (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.73 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. Mansfield Town (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.39 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights