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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shrewsbury Win

34%

Northampton

2.98

31%

Draw

3.27

36%

Shrewsbury

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.12

1.08

Shrewsbury xG

34%
31%
36%
NorthamptonDrawShrewsbury

2.98

34%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

34%

Northampton

2.95

35%

Shrewsbury

2.82

Win to Nil

11%

Northampton

8.78

13%

Shrewsbury

7.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 13.0 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 12.5 13.5 7.3 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 6.5 7.0 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.082
Total xG 2.120
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.152
Northampton attack strength 0.693
Northampton defence strength 1.146
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.819
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89