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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

41%

Northampton

2.46

28%

Draw

3.58

31%

Burton Albion

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.33

1.07

Burton Albion xG

41%
28%
31%
NorthamptonDrawBurton Albion

2.46

41%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

34%

Northampton

2.92

28%

Burton Albion

3.54

Win to Nil

14%

Northampton

7.17

9%

Burton Albion

11.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 10.4 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.7 8.3 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.263
λ Away (xG) 1.071
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.164
Northampton attack strength 0.790
Northampton defence strength 1.081
Burton Albion attack strength 0.852
Burton Albion defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82