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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

42%

Northampton

2.40

32%

Draw

3.13

26%

Bolton

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Northampton xG

Total xG

1.85

0.78

Bolton xG

42%
32%
26%
NorthamptonDrawBolton

2.40

42%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

46%

Northampton

2.18

34%

Bolton

2.90

Win to Nil

19%

Northampton

5.23

9%

Bolton

11.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.8 12.3 4.8 1.3 0.2
1 16.8 13.1 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 9.0 7.0 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.2 2.5 1.0 0.3
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 0.781
Total xG 1.847
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.072
Northampton attack strength 0.794
Northampton defence strength 0.804
Bolton attack strength 0.907
Bolton defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55