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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

47%

Northampton

2.15

25%

Draw

3.98

28%

AFC Wimbledon

3.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.72

1.16

AFC Wimbledon xG

47%
25%
28%
NorthamptonDrawAFC Wimbledon

2.15

47%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.53

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

31%

Northampton

3.19

21%

AFC Wimbledon

4.75

Win to Nil

15%

Northampton

6.85

6%

AFC Wimbledon

16.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.6 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 11.9 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.3 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 1.160
Total xG 2.719
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.114
Northampton attack strength 0.874
Northampton defence strength 1.051
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.991
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.395
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 19