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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lincoln Win
61%
1.63
23%
4.33
15%
6.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.7%
Home win
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.74
Lincoln xG
Total xG
2.48
0.74
Shrewsbury xG
LincolnDrawShrewsbury
1.63
61%
Home win
4.33
23%
Draw
6.47
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.32
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
48%
2.09
17%
5.71
Win to Nil
29%
3.41
3%
36.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.6 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.743
λ Away (xG)
0.739
Total xG
2.482
League avg home goals
1.272
League avg away goals
1.135
Lincoln attack strength
1.123
Lincoln defence strength
0.812
Shrewsbury attack strength
0.802
Shrewsbury defence strength
1.220
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
87 / 87