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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

64%

Lincoln

1.55

23%

Draw

4.40

13%

Plymouth

7.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.48

0.67

Plymouth xG

64%
23%
13%
LincolnDrawPlymouth

1.55

64%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

7.81

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

51%

Lincoln

1.95

16%

Plymouth

6.13

Win to Nil

33%

Lincoln

3.03

2%

Plymouth

47.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 10.1 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.7 9.2 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 8.3 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 3.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.814
λ Away (xG) 0.670
Total xG 2.484
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Lincoln attack strength 1.132
Lincoln defence strength 0.867
Plymouth attack strength 0.714
Plymouth defence strength 1.208
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 2