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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

LNER Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

57%

Lincoln

1.75

23%

Draw

4.34

20%

Crawley Town

5.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.90

1.02

Crawley Town xG

57%
23%
20%
LincolnDrawCrawley Town

1.75

57%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

5.06

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

36%

Lincoln

2.77

15%

Crawley Town

6.57

Win to Nil

21%

Lincoln

4.84

3%

Crawley Town

33.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1
1 10.3 10.5 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.882
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.186
Lincoln attack strength 0.948
Lincoln defence strength 0.959
Crawley Town attack strength 0.895
Crawley Town defence strength 1.545
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 33