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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

45%

Lincoln

2.21

28%

Draw

3.62

27%

Cardiff

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.32

0.98

Cardiff xG

45%
28%
27%
LincolnDrawCardiff

2.21

45%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

38%

Lincoln

2.65

26%

Cardiff

3.83

Win to Nil

17%

Lincoln

5.87

7%

Cardiff

14.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.6 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 12.9 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.7 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.344
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.320
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.129
Lincoln attack strength 1.165
Lincoln defence strength 0.887
Cardiff attack strength 0.974
Cardiff defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 19