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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lincoln Win
64%
1.56
20%
4.93
16%
6.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.06
Lincoln xG
Total xG
2.98
0.91
Burton Albion xG
LincolnDrawBurton Albion
1.56
64%
Home win
4.93
20%
Draw
6.35
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
40%
2.49
13%
7.87
Win to Nil
26%
3.90
2%
50.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.5 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.063
λ Away (xG)
0.913
Total xG
2.976
League avg home goals
1.378
League avg away goals
1.097
Lincoln attack strength
1.286
Lincoln defence strength
0.979
Burton Albion attack strength
0.850
Burton Albion defence strength
1.164
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
72 / 71