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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

54%

Lincoln

1.85

25%

Draw

4.04

21%

Bolton

4.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.66

0.97

Bolton xG

54%
25%
21%
LincolnDrawBolton

1.85

54%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.74

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

38%

Lincoln

2.63

18%

Bolton

5.45

Win to Nil

21%

Lincoln

4.86

4%

Bolton

25.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 11.8 11.4 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 0.967
Total xG 2.663
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.152
Lincoln attack strength 1.098
Lincoln defence strength 0.831
Bolton attack strength 1.010
Bolton defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89