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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

44%

Exeter City

2.27

31%

Draw

3.19

25%

Stevenage

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Exeter City xG

Total xG

1.87

0.75

Stevenage xG

44%
31%
25%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage

2.27

44%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.80

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

47%

Exeter City

2.13

33%

Stevenage

3.06

Win to Nil

21%

Exeter City

4.82

8%

Stevenage

12.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 11.6 4.4 1.1 0.2
1 17.2 13.0 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 9.6 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.120
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 1.874
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.102
Exeter City attack strength 0.987
Exeter City defence strength 0.727
Stevenage attack strength 0.941
Stevenage defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 69