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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

38%

Exeter City

2.61

26%

Draw

3.91

36%

Shrewsbury

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Exeter City xG

Total xG

3.08

1.51

Shrewsbury xG

38%
26%
36%
Exeter CityDrawShrewsbury

2.61

38%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

22%

Exeter City

4.54

21%

Shrewsbury

4.78

Win to Nil

8%

Exeter City

11.87

8%

Shrewsbury

13.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.0 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.2 10.9 8.3 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.5 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 2.9 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.564
λ Away (xG) 1.514
Total xG 3.078
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.139
Exeter City attack strength 1.034
Exeter City defence strength 1.507
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.883
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 81