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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 23 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

44%

Exeter City

2.25

23%

Draw

4.29

32%

Plymouth

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Exeter City xG

Total xG

3.17

1.44

Plymouth xG

44%
23%
32%
Exeter CityDrawPlymouth

2.25

44%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

24%

Exeter City

4.22

18%

Plymouth

5.61

Win to Nil

11%

Exeter City

9.50

6%

Plymouth

17.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.1 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.3 10.5 7.5 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 9.0 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.6 5.2 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.725
λ Away (xG) 1.440
Total xG 3.165
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.105
Exeter City attack strength 0.969
Exeter City defence strength 1.078
Plymouth attack strength 1.208
Plymouth defence strength 1.348
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 12