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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

53%

Exeter City

1.90

26%

Draw

3.85

21%

Northampton

4.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.38

0.86

Northampton xG

53%
26%
21%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton

1.90

53%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

4.65

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

42%

Exeter City

2.38

22%

Northampton

4.55

Win to Nil

22%

Exeter City

4.52

5%

Northampton

21.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 14.0 12.1 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.2 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 5.4 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.515
λ Away (xG) 0.865
Total xG 2.380
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.137
Exeter City attack strength 0.959
Exeter City defence strength 0.960
Northampton attack strength 0.793
Northampton defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 76