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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Exeter City Win
41%
2.44
25%
4.01
34%
2.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Exeter City xG
Total xG
2.93
1.39
Northampton xG
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton
2.44
41%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
2.93
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.44
Clean Sheet
25%
4.00
21%
4.66
Win to Nil
10%
9.78
7%
13.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.539
λ Away (xG)
1.387
Total xG
2.926
League avg home goals
1.281
League avg away goals
1.158
Exeter City attack strength
1.064
Exeter City defence strength
1.531
Northampton attack strength
0.782
Northampton defence strength
1.129
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
77 / 79