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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

57%

Exeter City

1.77

24%

Draw

4.11

19%

Crawley Town

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.51

0.85

Crawley Town xG

57%
24%
19%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town

1.77

57%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

43%

Exeter City

2.34

19%

Crawley Town

5.25

Win to Nil

24%

Exeter City

4.14

4%

Crawley Town

27.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.5 11.5 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.2 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.2 5.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.659
λ Away (xG) 0.851
Total xG 2.510
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.158
Exeter City attack strength 0.947
Exeter City defence strength 0.968
Crawley Town attack strength 0.759
Crawley Town defence strength 1.376
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 21