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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

26%

Exeter City

3.84

25%

Draw

4.07

49%

Cardiff

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.75

1.63

Cardiff xG

26%
25%
49%
Exeter CityDrawCardiff

3.84

26%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

20%

Exeter City

5.12

33%

Cardiff

3.06

Win to Nil

5%

Exeter City

19.69

16%

Cardiff

6.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 10.4 8.5 4.6 1.9 0.6
1 7.1 11.7 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.0 6.5 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.5 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.117
λ Away (xG) 1.634
Total xG 2.751
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.164
Exeter City attack strength 0.793
Exeter City defence strength 1.130
Cardiff attack strength 1.242
Cardiff defence strength 0.996
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 36