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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

45%

Exeter City

2.22

29%

Draw

3.45

26%

Bristol Rovers

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.13

0.88

Bristol Rovers xG

45%
29%
26%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers

2.22

45%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

42%

Exeter City

2.40

29%

Bristol Rovers

3.51

Win to Nil

19%

Exeter City

5.32

7%

Bristol Rovers

13.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 10.4 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 3.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 0.876
Total xG 2.131
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.161
Exeter City attack strength 0.832
Exeter City defence strength 0.958
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.787
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66