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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

36%

Exeter City

2.80

32%

Draw

3.10

32%

Bolton

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Exeter City xG

Total xG

1.85

0.89

Bolton xG

36%
32%
32%
Exeter CityDrawBolton

2.80

36%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

41%

Exeter City

2.44

38%

Bolton

2.62

Win to Nil

15%

Exeter City

6.81

12%

Bolton

8.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 14.0 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 7.3 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.962
λ Away (xG) 0.891
Total xG 1.853
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.147
Exeter City attack strength 0.842
Exeter City defence strength 0.911
Bolton attack strength 0.852
Bolton defence strength 0.799
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 80