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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

28%

Crawley Town

3.54

28%

Draw

3.57

44%

Exeter City

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.39

1.36

Exeter City xG

28%
28%
44%
Crawley TownDrawExeter City

3.54

28%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

26%

Crawley Town

3.88

35%

Exeter City

2.82

Win to Nil

7%

Crawley Town

13.76

16%

Exeter City

6.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 12.4 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.5 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.9 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.036
λ Away (xG) 1.357
Total xG 2.393
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.152
Crawley Town attack strength 0.888
Crawley Town defence strength 1.390
Exeter City attack strength 0.847
Exeter City defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 89