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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crawley Town Win

36%

Crawley Town

2.77

30%

Draw

3.36

34%

Burton Albion

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

2.23

1.09

Burton Albion xG

36%
30%
34%
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion

2.77

36%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

34%

Crawley Town

2.98

32%

Burton Albion

3.10

Win to Nil

12%

Crawley Town

8.25

11%

Burton Albion

9.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 11.8 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.9 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 1.093
Total xG 2.226
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.151
Crawley Town attack strength 0.898
Crawley Town defence strength 1.238
Burton Albion attack strength 0.767
Burton Albion defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 70