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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 23 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Broadfield Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

26%

Crawley Town

3.78

23%

Draw

4.34

50%

Birmingham

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Crawley Town xG

Total xG

3.13

1.85

Birmingham xG

26%
23%
50%
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham

3.78

26%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

16%

Crawley Town

6.34

28%

Birmingham

3.60

Win to Nil

4%

Crawley Town

23.98

14%

Birmingham

7.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 8.1 7.5 4.6 2.1 0.8
1 5.6 10.4 9.6 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.6 6.6 6.1 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.5 2.8 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 1.847
Total xG 3.129
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.171
Crawley Town attack strength 0.964
Crawley Town defence strength 1.314
Birmingham attack strength 1.201
Birmingham defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 18