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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

51%

Charlton

1.94

26%

Draw

3.81

22%

Northampton

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.43

0.91

Northampton xG

51%
26%
22%
CharltonDrawNorthampton

1.94

51%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

40%

Charlton

2.48

22%

Northampton

4.58

Win to Nil

21%

Charlton

4.82

5%

Northampton

20.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.0 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 13.4 12.2 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.521
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.429
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.124
Charlton attack strength 1.227
Charlton defence strength 0.758
Northampton attack strength 1.067
Northampton defence strength 0.971
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88