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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Promotion Play-offs - Final

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

13:01

Venue

Wembley Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

45%

Charlton

2.23

25%

Draw

3.94

30%

Leyton Orient

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.96

1.31

Leyton Orient xG

45%
25%
30%
CharltonDrawLeyton Orient

2.23

45%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

27%

Charlton

3.70

19%

Leyton Orient

5.20

Win to Nil

12%

Charlton

8.24

6%

Leyton Orient

17.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 11.2 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.956
League avg home goals 1.315
League avg away goals 1.214
Charlton attack strength 1.268
Charlton defence strength 0.785
Leyton Orient attack strength 1.372
Leyton Orient defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92