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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Tue 3 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

58%

Charlton

1.74

27%

Draw

3.75

16%

Crawley Town

6.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.07

0.62

Crawley Town xG

58%
27%
16%
CharltonDrawCrawley Town

1.74

58%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

6.35

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

54%

Charlton

1.86

23%

Crawley Town

4.28

Win to Nil

31%

Charlton

3.22

4%

Crawley Town

27.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 7.8 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 18.3 11.3 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 13.3 8.2 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 6.5 4.0 1.2 0.3
4 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.455
λ Away (xG) 0.618
Total xG 2.073
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.123
Charlton attack strength 0.988
Charlton defence strength 0.969
Crawley Town attack strength 0.568
Crawley Town defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 17