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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

56%

Charlton

1.78

28%

Draw

3.61

16%

Bristol Rovers

6.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.01

0.61

Bristol Rovers xG

56%
28%
16%
CharltonDrawBristol Rovers

1.78

56%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

6.25

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.89

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

54%

Charlton

1.84

25%

Bristol Rovers

4.08

Win to Nil

31%

Charlton

3.27

4%

Bristol Rovers

25.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 8.1 2.5 0.5 0.1
1 18.8 11.4 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 13.2 8.0 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 6.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
4 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 0.609
Total xG 2.014
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.169
Charlton attack strength 0.842
Charlton defence strength 0.770
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.677
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.305
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72