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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

39%

Cardiff

2.54

30%

Draw

3.35

31%

Rotherham

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.21

1.02

Rotherham xG

39%
30%
31%
CardiffDrawRotherham

2.54

39%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Cardiff

2.77

30%

Rotherham

3.29

Win to Nil

14%

Cardiff

7.03

9%

Rotherham

10.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 11.2 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.3 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 7.9 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.191
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.210
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Cardiff attack strength 0.953
Cardiff defence strength 1.112
Rotherham attack strength 0.847
Rotherham defence strength 0.942
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 48