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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

43%

Cardiff

2.33

24%

Draw

4.23

33%

Reading

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Cardiff xG

Total xG

3.12

1.45

Reading xG

43%
24%
33%
CardiffDrawReading

2.33

43%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

24%

Cardiff

4.25

19%

Reading

5.31

Win to Nil

10%

Cardiff

9.88

6%

Reading

15.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.4 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.4 10.7 7.7 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.9 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.669
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 3.115
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.110
Cardiff attack strength 1.195
Cardiff defence strength 1.223
Reading attack strength 1.065
Reading defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 57