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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

63%

Cardiff

1.60

21%

Draw

4.84

17%

Plymouth

6.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.97

0.94

Plymouth xG

63%
21%
17%
CardiffDrawPlymouth

1.60

63%

Home win

4.84

21%

Draw

6.01

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

39%

Cardiff

2.56

13%

Plymouth

7.64

Win to Nil

24%

Cardiff

4.09

2%

Plymouth

45.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.2 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.033
λ Away (xG) 0.941
Total xG 2.974
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.045
Cardiff attack strength 1.138
Cardiff defence strength 1.009
Plymouth attack strength 0.892
Plymouth defence strength 1.343
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 5