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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

49%

Cardiff

2.04

25%

Draw

4.00

26%

Burton Albion

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Cardiff xG

Total xG

2.67

1.09

Burton Albion xG

49%
25%
26%
CardiffDrawBurton Albion

2.04

49%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

34%

Cardiff

2.97

20%

Burton Albion

4.89

Win to Nil

16%

Cardiff

6.07

5%

Burton Albion

18.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.5 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.9 11.9 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 5.0 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.587
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.675
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.100
Cardiff attack strength 1.175
Cardiff defence strength 1.104
Burton Albion attack strength 0.896
Burton Albion defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 54