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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cardiff Win

62%

Cardiff

1.60

19%

Draw

5.20

18%

AFC Wimbledon

5.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.28

Cardiff xG

Total xG

3.45

1.17

AFC Wimbledon xG

62%
19%
18%
CardiffDrawAFC Wimbledon

1.60

62%

Home win

5.20

19%

Draw

5.46

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

31%

Cardiff

3.21

10%

AFC Wimbledon

9.82

Win to Nil

19%

Cardiff

5.14

2%

AFC Wimbledon

53.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.2 8.5 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 9.7 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 6.3 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.6 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.284
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 3.451
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.151
Cardiff attack strength 1.342
Cardiff defence strength 0.980
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.035
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 30