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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 29 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

35%

Burton Albion

2.88

32%

Draw

3.09

33%

Wigan

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

1.94

0.95

Wigan xG

35%
32%
33%
Burton AlbionDrawWigan

2.88

35%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

38%

Burton Albion

2.60

37%

Wigan

2.69

Win to Nil

13%

Burton Albion

7.48

12%

Wigan

8.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 13.7 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.2 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.0 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.989
λ Away (xG) 0.955
Total xG 1.944
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.169
Burton Albion attack strength 1.083
Burton Albion defence strength 1.102
Wigan attack strength 0.741
Wigan defence strength 0.708
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90