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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

53%

Burton Albion

1.87

24%

Draw

4.17

23%

Stevenage

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.73

1.02

Stevenage xG

53%
24%
23%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage

1.87

53%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

36%

Burton Albion

2.78

18%

Stevenage

5.51

Win to Nil

19%

Burton Albion

5.22

4%

Stevenage

24.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.7 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.707
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.731
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.152
Burton Albion attack strength 1.033
Burton Albion defence strength 1.044
Stevenage attack strength 0.851
Stevenage defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 79