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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

46%

Burton Albion

2.17

25%

Draw

3.99

29%

Plymouth

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.74

1.18

Plymouth xG

46%
25%
29%
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth

2.17

46%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

31%

Burton Albion

3.25

21%

Plymouth

4.75

Win to Nil

14%

Burton Albion

7.05

6%

Plymouth

16.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.9 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.072
Burton Albion attack strength 0.744
Burton Albion defence strength 1.119
Plymouth attack strength 0.983
Plymouth defence strength 1.471
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 9