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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

47%

Burton Albion

2.12

24%

Draw

4.10

28%

Mansfield Town

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.90

1.24

Mansfield Town xG

47%
24%
28%
Burton AlbionDrawMansfield Town

2.12

47%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

29%

Burton Albion

3.46

19%

Mansfield Town

5.28

Win to Nil

14%

Burton Albion

7.32

5%

Mansfield Town

18.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.8 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.3 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.4 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.664
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.904
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.172
Burton Albion attack strength 1.048
Burton Albion defence strength 1.030
Mansfield Town attack strength 1.026
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.156
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46