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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

34%

Burton Albion

2.97

29%

Draw

3.51

38%

Lincoln

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.27

1.18

Lincoln xG

34%
29%
38%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln

2.97

34%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

31%

Burton Albion

3.25

33%

Lincoln

2.99

Win to Nil

10%

Burton Albion

9.64

13%

Lincoln

7.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.096
λ Away (xG) 1.178
Total xG 2.274
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.025
Burton Albion attack strength 0.826
Burton Albion defence strength 1.169
Lincoln attack strength 0.983
Lincoln defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 53