Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

30%

Burton Albion

3.37

31%

Draw

3.26

40%

Exeter City

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.04

1.12

Exeter City xG

30%
31%
40%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City

3.37

30%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

33%

Burton Albion

3.05

40%

Exeter City

2.52

Win to Nil

10%

Burton Albion

10.29

16%

Exeter City

6.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.5 8.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.6 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.924
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 2.040
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.131
Burton Albion attack strength 0.686
Burton Albion defence strength 1.240
Exeter City attack strength 0.796
Exeter City defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65