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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

29%

Burton Albion

3.40

29%

Draw

3.40

41%

Bolton

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.14

1.19

Bolton xG

29%
29%
41%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton

3.40

29%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

31%

Burton Albion

3.27

39%

Bolton

2.59

Win to Nil

9%

Burton Albion

11.14

16%

Bolton

6.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 14.0 8.3 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.3 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.952
λ Away (xG) 1.186
Total xG 2.138
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.133
Burton Albion attack strength 0.671
Burton Albion defence strength 1.298
Bolton attack strength 0.806
Bolton defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 57