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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Pirelli Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

33%

Burton Albion

3.00

27%

Draw

3.65

39%

Bolton

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Burton Albion xG

Total xG

2.73

1.43

Bolton xG

33%
27%
39%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton

3.00

33%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

24%

Burton Albion

4.17

27%

Bolton

3.67

Win to Nil

8%

Burton Albion

12.54

11%

Bolton

9.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 9.3 6.7 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.5 12.1 8.7 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.5 7.9 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.4 3.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.299
λ Away (xG) 1.429
Total xG 2.728
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.139
Burton Albion attack strength 0.962
Burton Albion defence strength 1.240
Bolton attack strength 1.012
Bolton defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 80