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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

31%

Bristol Rovers

3.21

34%

Draw

2.96

35%

Wrexham

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.0%

Away win

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

1.72

0.90

Wrexham xG

31%
34%
35%
Bristol RoversDrawWrexham

3.21

31%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.01

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

41%

Bristol Rovers

2.45

44%

Wrexham

2.28

Win to Nil

13%

Bristol Rovers

7.85

15%

Wrexham

6.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.9 16.0 7.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.8 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.1 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.825
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 1.720
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.138
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.754
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.042
Wrexham attack strength 0.755
Wrexham defence strength 0.846
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 20