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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Thu 14 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Valley Parade

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bradford Win

37%

Bradford

2.69

31%

Draw

3.21

32%

Bolton

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Bradford xG

Total xG

1.96

0.93

Bolton xG

37%
31%
32%
BradfordDrawBolton

2.69

37%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

40%

Bradford

2.52

36%

Bolton

2.81

Win to Nil

15%

Bradford

6.78

11%

Bolton

8.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 13.1 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.5 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 7.5 7.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.033
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 1.959
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.238
Bradford attack strength 0.811
Bradford defence strength 0.775
Bolton attack strength 0.965
Bolton defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 92