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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 14 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

49%

Bolton

2.04

27%

Draw

3.66

24%

Stevenage

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.27

0.88

Stevenage xG

49%
27%
24%
BoltonDrawStevenage

2.04

49%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

41%

Bolton

2.41

25%

Stevenage

4.03

Win to Nil

20%

Bolton

4.92

6%

Stevenage

17.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 14.3 12.6 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 8.8 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 4.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.395
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 2.275
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 1.124
Bolton attack strength 1.092
Bolton defence strength 1.043
Stevenage attack strength 0.750
Stevenage defence strength 0.921
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 87